Have you factors in those 40'c plus heat wave events in Canada last year ?
We have had 47'c a few times here, several years ago.
The heat wave appeared due to an exceptionally strong ridge centered over the area, whose strength was linked to the effects of climate change.[10][11] It resulted in some of the highest temperatures ever recorded in the region,[12] including the highest temperature ever measured in Canada at 49.6 °C (121.3 °F), as well as the highest temperatures in British Columbia, in the Northwest Territories, in the state of Washington as well as a tied record in Oregon. The record-high temperatures associated with the heat wave stretched from Oregon to northern Manitoba, and daily highs were set as far east as Labrador and as far southwest as Southern California. However, the Pacific Northwest suffered the vast majority of the disruption and damage connected with the extreme weather event.