Author Topic: Winter Plans/First Arctic Blast  (Read 14552 times)

Luisport

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Re: Winter Plans/First Arctic Blast
« Reply #25 on: December 01, 2013, 06:34:29 PM »

Luisport

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Re: Winter Plans/First Arctic Blast
« Reply #26 on: December 01, 2013, 06:42:18 PM »
12z Euro Anomaly is the most extreme on morning of Friday, December 6. Very warm in SE, very cold in northern central USA. http://models.weatherbell.com/ecmwf/2013120112/conus2/ecmwf_t2m_anom_conus2_21.png

MangoFang

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Re: Winter Plans/First Arctic Blast
« Reply #27 on: December 01, 2013, 10:22:04 PM »
That's right Bangkok - rub it in!!!!!


 >:(



Gary

Mark in Texas

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Re: Winter Plans/First Arctic Blast
« Reply #28 on: December 02, 2013, 08:01:01 AM »
And my plants *never* go outside, so it's even easier  ;)

Ah come on Karen, take 'em for a walk in the park once in a while.   8)

We heat 'em big in Texas.  Mah redneck greenhouse has 2 fire burning stoves made out of old whiskey drums.

(Computer controlled 150K BTU Reznor propane heater backed up by a DynaGlo 80K in case of power outage.  ;) )
« Last Edit: December 02, 2013, 09:28:55 AM by Mark in Texas »

Mark in Texas

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Re: Winter Plans/First Arctic Blast
« Reply #29 on: December 02, 2013, 08:11:49 AM »
For heat I use an old wood burning stove with a blower unit attached. I can easily get a 20-25 degree gain from outside temps BUT, I have to tend to the fire every hour or so ALL NIGHT LONG. This gets about as old as de-tangling vines (and yes, I grow passionvines in pots so I know all about the tangle). I use a kerosene heater as backup which does a good job on a freezing night but it takes both heat sources on nights below 25.

It sounds like a hassle, but actually sitting by a roaring fire surrounded by tropical trees ain't so bad. Wi-fi will reach out there so I can play on my laptop in the evenings and it still beats hauling everything in and out of the basement.

Stay warm everybody!

Check out the Reznor UDAP heaters.  Fan driven, propane, fired up using a cheap thermostat and you have no worries.  I lease a large tank for $1/yr. and the fuel is cheap.  Easy chair, good book and a cold Porter for me.  ;)

KarenRei

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Re: Winter Plans/First Arctic Blast
« Reply #30 on: December 02, 2013, 08:21:34 AM »
And my plants *never* go outside, so it's even easier  ;)

Ah come on Karen, take 'em for a walk in the park once in a while.   8)

Okay, okay, I do do that occasionally  ;) But not in winter!

I'm thinking about getting some stick-on googly-eyes to personify some of my plants and doing a surrealist "combination Reykjavík/exotic plants photo shoot" after it warms up again, for a blog for another site (and possibly the Reykjavík Grapevine if they're in the mood for something bizarre). "This is Marang visiting Hallgrímskirkja. Hallgrímskirkja is a 73-meter church that dominates the Reykjavík skyline. Begun in 1945 and not finished until 1986, its columnar shape is designed to be reminiscent of Iceland's abundant columnar basalt.  Marang (Artocarpus odoratissimus) is a Bornean relative of jackfruit that produces large green fruits with creamy white arils and an aromatic rind. It is often considered to be among the best of the artocarpus. ** This is Chupa-Chupa sitting on top of the statue of Leifr Eiríksson..." etc.

Too bad there's really no good way to haul around my biggest tropicals - for example, I think a 3-meter banana tree would make quite a splash downtown  ;)  It'd be fun to set it next to the large plush polar bears on Laugavegur for some nice cognitive dissonance.  ;)

And hey, stop sending your cold weather east to us! It's supposed to get down to -13 (9F) in Reykjavík and -20 (4F) at Hellsheiði and Þingvellir (right nearby)  by Friday. :Þ Our average *January* low in Reykjavík is only -2,4 (28F).
« Last Edit: December 02, 2013, 11:13:58 AM by KarenRei »
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Mark in Texas

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Re: Winter Plans/First Arctic Blast
« Reply #31 on: December 02, 2013, 09:31:08 AM »
Too bad there's really no good way to haul around my biggest tropicals - for example, I think a 3-meter banana tree would make quite a splash downtown  ;)  It'd be fun to set it next to the large plush polar bears on Laugavegur for some nice cognitive dissonance.  ;)

Funnnnnnnnnny stuff!   ;D

Luisport

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Re: Winter Plans/First Arctic Blast
« Reply #32 on: December 02, 2013, 09:41:13 AM »
Ryan Maue ‏@RyanMaue  10 h 
Here's next 8-day animGIF of 6-hr temp anomalies of Arctic blast -- worst is Alberta easily 60°F below normal lows http://models.weatherbell.com/news/gfs_2013120200_t2m_anomf_conus.gif


Luisport

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Re: Winter Plans/First Arctic Blast
« Reply #33 on: December 02, 2013, 03:14:14 PM »
 Temps nearing 90 across interior FL later this weekend and next week per the Euro. We could approach ALL-TIME records across C & S FL. Amazing! http://models.weatherbell.com/ecmwf/2013120212/east/ecmwf_t2m_east_34.png

JF

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Re: Winter Plans/First Arctic Blast
« Reply #34 on: December 02, 2013, 04:03:58 PM »
Temps nearing 90 across interior FL later this weekend and next week per the Euro. We could approach ALL-TIME records across C & S FL. Amazing! http://models.weatherbell.com/ecmwf/2013120212/east/ecmwf_t2m_east_34.png

Luis

Was is the 12zGFS showing for SoCal?? Thank you.

Luisport

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Re: Winter Plans/First Arctic Blast
« Reply #35 on: December 02, 2013, 04:08:52 PM »
Temps nearing 90 across interior FL later this weekend and next week per the Euro. We could approach ALL-TIME records across C & S FL. Amazing! http://models.weatherbell.com/ecmwf/2013120212/east/ecmwf_t2m_east_34.png

Luis

Was is the 12zGFS showing for SoCal?? Thank you.
I will try to get it for you.  ;)

JF

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Re: Winter Plans/First Arctic Blast
« Reply #36 on: December 02, 2013, 04:12:04 PM »
Temps nearing 90 across interior FL later this weekend and next week per the Euro. We could approach ALL-TIME records across C & S FL. Amazing! http://models.weatherbell.com/ecmwf/2013120212/east/ecmwf_t2m_east_34.png

Luis

Was is the 12zGFS showing for SoCal?? Thank you.
I will try to get it for you.  ;)

Thanks. We were 85f yesterday but I heard it's going to be cold for the next week or so.

Luisport

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Re: Winter Plans/First Arctic Blast
« Reply #37 on: December 02, 2013, 04:13:32 PM »
Ryan Maue ‏@RyanMaue  50 min 
ECMWF Ensemble mean Thursday evening +84 hrs -- that's a 23.5°C negative 850-mb anomaly.  Whoa. https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/407605498888744960/photo/1/large


JF

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Re: Winter Plans/First Arctic Blast
« Reply #38 on: December 02, 2013, 04:18:19 PM »
Ryan Maue ‏@RyanMaue  50 min 
ECMWF Ensemble mean Thursday evening +84 hrs -- that's a 23.5°C negative 850-mb anomaly.  Whoa. https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/407605498888744960/photo/1/large

What 23 negative what does this mean?

Luisport

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Re: Winter Plans/First Arctic Blast
« Reply #39 on: December 02, 2013, 04:19:39 PM »
Ryan Maue ‏@RyanMaue  50 min 
ECMWF Ensemble mean Thursday evening +84 hrs -- that's a 23.5°C negative 850-mb anomaly.  Whoa. https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/407605498888744960/photo/1/large

What 23 negative what does this mean?
Not everywere... see it for your location...

JF

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Re: Winter Plans/First Arctic Blast
« Reply #40 on: December 02, 2013, 04:29:57 PM »
Ryan Maue ‏@RyanMaue  50 min 
ECMWF Ensemble mean Thursday evening +84 hrs -- that's a 23.5°C negative 850-mb anomaly.  Whoa. https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/407605498888744960/photo/1/large

What 23 negative what does this mean?
Not everywere... see it for your location...

Ok raining and cold highs in the low 60's low temp 40's time to cover my guanabana

Luisport

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Re: Winter Plans/First Arctic Blast
« Reply #41 on: December 02, 2013, 04:32:23 PM »
Yes that's for shure... only Florida and east coast will get warmer temps

JF

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Re: Winter Plans/First Arctic Blast
« Reply #42 on: December 02, 2013, 04:37:18 PM »
Yes that's for shure... only Florida and east coast will get warmer temps

I like this model I will be using it through out the winter

Obrigadomeu amigo

Luisport

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Re: Winter Plans/First Arctic Blast
« Reply #43 on: December 02, 2013, 04:42:45 PM »
Yes that's for shure... only Florida and east coast will get warmer temps

I like this model I will be using it through out the winter

Obrigadomeu amigo
And this is a great link: https://twitter.com/RyanMaue

Mark in Texas

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Re: Winter Plans/First Arctic Blast
« Reply #44 on: December 02, 2013, 10:35:24 PM »
What 23 negative what does this mean?

Believe it means 23F (down) from the average.   Can some graphic geek please clear this up for us weather nerds?

Bananimal

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« Last Edit: December 02, 2013, 11:18:07 PM by Bananimal »
Dan

KarenRei

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Re: Winter Plans/First Arctic Blast
« Reply #46 on: December 03, 2013, 02:52:15 AM »
Now they're saying -16C (3,2F) here in Reykjavík. Yeay.  :Þ  Our all-time low December record is only -16,8, this could break it - and December is just starting.  :Þ
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Luisport

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Re: Winter Plans/First Arctic Blast
« Reply #47 on: December 03, 2013, 07:40:47 AM »
Ryan Maue ‏@RyanMaue  7 h 
Looking south -- Saturday lows in single digits over snow cover from Texas panhandle into OKC & northeast https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/407736417154920448/photo/1
 

 Ryan Maue ‏@RyanMaue  7 h 
GFS model appears to have bottomed out -- temps will be downright brutal / dangerous cold for 7+ days e.g. Saturday
 https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/407736417154920448/photo/1

ScottR

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Re: Winter Plans/First Arctic Blast
« Reply #48 on: December 03, 2013, 12:03:48 PM »
Yeah here comes the cold going to put up frost cloth today. There talking two nights here Thrus.-Fri. mornings going to be down to 28F sounds like long duration but as they say time will tell! Damm! I hate the cold :o :-\ :'(

Luisport

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Re: Winter Plans/First Arctic Blast
« Reply #49 on: December 03, 2013, 12:39:25 PM »

Ryan Maue ‏@RyanMaue  5 min 
Historically, upcoming week will have USA Lower-48 spatially avg low temps of 14-17°F -- coldest for so early in December (in past 35-yrs)
 

 Ryan Maue ‏@RyanMaue  6 min 
GFS 12z run just finished puts CONUS spatial average at 16.7°F Saturday (12z) -- then to 14.3°F on 10th, 14.1°F on 11th --> downhill
 

 Ryan Maue ‏@RyanMaue  9 min 
morning ECMWF 00z run had CONUS avg (lower-48) at 14.4°F for Saturday Dec 7 12z -- coldest earliest for December in past 34 years+

 

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