Author Topic: La Niña in winter 2020/2021  (Read 2148 times)

bovine421

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La Niña in winter 2020/2021
« on: October 15, 2020, 08:09:58 PM »
I heard this mentioned on the radio today. Will this have any effect on Mango flowering season?
« Last Edit: October 15, 2020, 08:13:34 PM by bovine421 »
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Epicatt2

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Re: La Niña in winter 2020/2021
« Reply #1 on: October 16, 2020, 01:53:42 AM »
Bovine,

Mangos should be happy with the drier (and warmer) wintertime in Florida this year that's expected, due to La Niña.

What I noticed while I was living in Costa Rica where the dry season there in the Central Valley starts in mid-November and runs thru most of April was that when I would arrive in March I could look out the back of my second floor apartment across Alajuela and see tall mango trees here and there all over the town, each tree with multiple spikes of tiny fruit that was just recently set and starting to grow.

By the end of May ripe mangoes had begun to show up in the mercados, the supermarkets, and on restaurant menus.  Yum!

Let's hope the mangos here in Florida appreciate that La Niña will be visiting this year.

Paul M.
==

Mike T

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Re: La Niña in winter 2020/2021
« Reply #2 on: October 16, 2020, 04:02:37 AM »
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/outlooks/#/rainfall/median/seasonal/0

Some places are looking forward to a very rainy La Nina Summer with extra cyclone risks.

bovine421

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Re: La Niña in winter 2020/2021
« Reply #3 on: October 16, 2020, 06:14:55 AM »
Thanks :) It would truly be nice to not have to worry about Jack Frost knocking on my window but I am a little concerned that some of the trees may grow instead of flower. Hopefully the dry weather well keep that in check.
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Squam256

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Re: La Niña in winter 2020/2021
« Reply #4 on: October 16, 2020, 09:25:34 AM »
Another warm winter and depressed mango crop in south Florida to come.

Sunrisefruit

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Re: La Niña in winter 2020/2021
« Reply #5 on: October 16, 2020, 09:39:54 AM »
Another warm winter and depressed mango crop in south Florida to come.

i agree.. Mangoes in South Florida, need at bit of cold in the winter..  rainy/warm winter, means less mangoes next year..  :'(

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Re: La Niña in winter 2020/2021
« Reply #6 on: October 16, 2020, 12:45:44 PM »
La Niña dose not mean you won't get cold spanked,it's a average of temps for whole season that will be warm .But it does tend to be very dry!
 

achetadomestica

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Re: La Niña in winter 2020/2021
« Reply #7 on: October 16, 2020, 02:53:11 PM »
Do you trust weather predictions?

If I remember last year was a 80% chance of El Nino then it was a 90%
then it never happened?

Another great prediction from our weather department was after FL got hit with 4
hurricanes the one year it was going to be the new norm for the next 25 years and then FL
went the longest period without a direct hurricane since they kept records

shot

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Re: La Niña in winter 2020/2021
« Reply #8 on: October 16, 2020, 04:19:29 PM »
True Mike ,el nino seem more difficult to predict.La nina is already present,but for how long?

Mike T

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Re: La Niña in winter 2020/2021
« Reply #9 on: October 19, 2020, 04:41:42 AM »
After a series of terribly hot summers this La Nina summer promises more like average temperature in Australia and lots of rain to the north. The scale of bushfires last summer was mind boggling here and we have had enough of heat for a while.I know California seems to have a terrible nearly every year with fires lately.Even mild Sydney has copped some warmth in recent years. Have a look at this story about an international cricket match between Australia and England in Sydney 3 summers ago.
https://www.huffingtonpost.com.au/2018/01/07/england-cricket-captain-joe-root-hospitalised-with-dehydration-after-temps-topped-57-degrees_a_23326627/

bovine421

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Re: La Niña in winter 2020/2021
« Reply #10 on: January 15, 2021, 05:15:14 PM »
So is the La Nina affect weaker-than-expected in South Florida?
What has its effect been elsewhere

Would like to start a dialogue for discussion :)


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Orkine

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Re: La Niña in winter 2020/2021
« Reply #11 on: January 15, 2021, 05:26:03 PM »
It has been very dry in South Florida of late. 

That is one of the expected outcomes with La Nina.

BoBiscuit

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Re: La Niña in winter 2020/2021
« Reply #12 on: January 15, 2021, 11:32:47 PM »
La Nina has brought us a miserable dry thru-summer here. Nonstop rippin' hot Santa Anas. My bananas have been shredded to ribbons and everything else has salt burn from the lack of rain. I had two papaya trees completely defoliated by wind. More dry wind to come this week. Ugh.

C24mccain

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Re: La Niña in winter 2020/2021
« Reply #13 on: January 16, 2021, 06:07:38 AM »
Here in Lakeland Florida our winter since December has been colder than normal and plenty of rain with the frequent cold fronts hitting. I don't think I've seen more than one 80* degree day all winter. No freezes but continual cool nights. Looks like my lychees and peaches will do great because of it. Nearly a perfect winter so far though I'm ready for things to warm up. Mangoes are slowly pushing flowers as avocado.

bovine421

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Re: La Niña in winter 2020/2021
« Reply #14 on: January 16, 2021, 10:44:40 AM »
Here in Lakeland Florida our winter since December has been colder than normal and plenty of rain with the frequent cold fronts hitting. I don't think I've seen more than one 80* degree day all winter. No freezes but continual cool nights. Looks like my lychees and peaches will do great because of it. Nearly a perfect winter so far though I'm ready for things to warm up. Mangoes are slowly pushing flowers as avocado.
For our area I could not agree with your assessment more. :)






This is a Valencia Pride that did a 20% flush growth after the warm Thanksgiving holiday.It was followed by rain of the first cold front. I was a little concerned that the Thanksgiving flush growth would not flower. I am hoping those are flowers. If so Rob was right once again :)
« Last Edit: January 16, 2021, 10:53:13 AM by bovine421 »
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Squam256

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Re: La Niña in winter 2020/2021
« Reply #15 on: January 17, 2021, 09:20:48 AM »
The effect must have been inconsequential because it’s turned out to be the coldest winter we’ve had in south Florida thus far years.

bovine421

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Re: La Niña in winter 2020/2021
« Reply #16 on: January 17, 2021, 03:49:49 PM »
Hardel says he's starting to shed fur so he doesn't think we'll have a freeze in the next month and a half. I sure hope not he also says I need to stop putting cow patty mushrooms on our pizzas and just stick with beer!  Lol :)

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Mike T

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Re: La Niña in winter 2020/2021
« Reply #17 on: January 17, 2021, 10:18:48 PM »
https://www.windy.com/-Show---add-more-layers/overlays?satellite,2021-01-19-03,-15.176,47.547,3
What does the La Nina Winter mean for the southern hemisphere summer?
Have a look at the world heat distribution and maybe current rainfall as the La Nina pattern is in full force. Just move things around and hit different tabs on the right.
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/dwo/IDCJDW4154.latest.shtml
When I look at my first 2 weeks of the rainy season it is around a months worth of rain. The site is a few kms from me and about 10% drier. Look at how modest the summer temps are as last month they were through the roof but dropped for the monsoon onset of course.