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Author Topic: Category 4 Hurricane Irma  (Read 16262 times)

CTMIAMI

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Re: Category 4 Hurricane Irma
« Reply #75 on: September 08, 2017, 02:59:57 PM »
Well, the center of current track is right over my grove. I know avocado trees will probably get destroyed at anything over 140 mph and this Irma has even more.  I don't know.......Like to get it done and over with. Too much information..... too many days before.

Has your grove taken a beating before?  Does severe pruning prior to impact mitigate damage? I'm hopeful that our losses are minimal.
Yes during Wilma and Katrina same year and trees were 2-3 years old 40% were flat on the ground. I think the winds never reached 80 mph in our area.
Severe pruning does work but is not something you can do in 5 days requires preparation and labor and equipment availability
Carlos
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Mike T

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Re: Category 4 Hurricane Irma
« Reply #76 on: September 08, 2017, 05:20:16 PM »
Pruning works well and how hard you prune depends on the wind speed you expect at your place. Even cat 3 or 4 when it crosses the coast means it could be worth chopping the jackfruit tops off and taking our leafy branches, Starapples do ok and don't seem to topple over if you take out high and leafy branches. Avos don't do very well unless they are hard trimmed and lychees also struggle as their foliage has plenty of wind resistance and big branches break.In march Cyclone Debbie crossed the coast in Queensland as  Cat 4 and maximum wind gusts were around 160mph..Many big trees around Proserpins fell over or were smashed up and even trees in the bush were stripped of all oliage.Some leafy bush areas looked like poles sticking out of coleslaw afterwards. The trees are growing back surprising well already.

BajaJohn

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Re: Category 4 Hurricane Irma
« Reply #77 on: September 08, 2017, 06:20:34 PM »
European forecast model unfortunately starting to be agreed with by most other forecast models out there.. NOT good for us. Good luck everyone.
Better agreement between the different models is to be expected as the storm gets closer.
Also, as you note, the European forecast is changing too, so it isn't like the Euro model is predicting the correct path all the time. Most importantly, don't expect any one model to be the best predictor for every hurricane. Each performs differently and their accuracy ranking changes with the particular storm and may even change from day to day within a single storm.
Absolutely hope for the best - I'm with you there, but as your governor says, do all you can to prepare for the worst. I've only lived at risk of hurricanes for 10 years but it that has been long enough to recognize that the models can't be relied on to tell how close a storm will come or how strong the winds will be in any location.
« Last Edit: September 08, 2017, 06:27:25 PM by BajaJohn »

dwfl

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Re: Category 4 Hurricane Irma
« Reply #78 on: September 08, 2017, 07:51:55 PM »
Yep all the models change almost every time. I originally pointed at the European forecast model tracking more and more west to say not so fast re: the eye staying offshore of the east coast.

Saltcayman

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Re: Category 4 Hurricane Irma
« Reply #79 on: September 08, 2017, 08:05:11 PM »
Irma was a direct hit on my place in the Turks & Caicos.  There has been no communication with the island as of yet. Hoping and praying that the 16 people who rode the storm out there are ok.  No idea how my trees fared but I will update when I know.  My best wishes to all of you who are still in Irma's path.

puglvr1

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Re: Category 4 Hurricane Irma
« Reply #80 on: September 09, 2017, 08:49:11 AM »

Salty, very sorry to hear your area took a direct hit...hoping for the best and prayers to those that stayed behind, hoping they are all okay...

Good Luck to all of us in its path...I'm in Highlands County and it's really looking very bad for us as well...25 years in Florida, made it through Wilma but this one is a lot scarier and stronger. Stress level is through the roof for all of us. 

Saltcayman

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Re: Category 4 Hurricane Irma
« Reply #81 on: September 09, 2017, 09:23:42 AM »
Thanks😀 Above all else be safe!

Mr. Clean

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Re: Category 4 Hurricane Irma
« Reply #82 on: September 09, 2017, 10:10:45 AM »
Salt, sorry to hear about the direct hit.  I pray you have minimal damage.  Many of us are still in Irma's path, so we are remaining optimistic.
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Saltcayman

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Re: Category 4 Hurricane Irma
« Reply #83 on: September 09, 2017, 12:26:24 PM »
Yes!  Stay positive, prepare and hunker down if you didn't bug out.  I will update when I get any word. Praying for everyone on her path. Thanks 👍🏼

Future

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Re: Category 4 Hurricane Irma
« Reply #84 on: September 09, 2017, 05:30:24 PM »
Irma was a direct hit on my place in the Turks & Caicos.  There has been no communication with the island as of yet. Hoping and praying that the 16 people who rode the storm out there are ok.  No idea how my trees fared but I will update when I know.  My best wishes to all of you who are still in Irma's path.

Glad to hear you are ok.  Are you on island or some other location?

TREESNMORE

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Re: Category 4 Hurricane Irma
« Reply #85 on: September 09, 2017, 05:34:50 PM »
I have done about all that can be done to get ready for the storm winds. We are about to get. The rain is what we are worried about now. 10 inches will flood my fields. We have moved almost everything up to high ground and laid it over. I about lost it when we thought we were going to get 150 mph winds.  Now my friend on Pine Inland is facing this. Good luck



Mike

palmcity

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Re: Category 4 Hurricane Irma
« Reply #86 on: September 09, 2017, 09:32:08 PM »
Like to get it done and over with. Too much information..... too many days before.

Agree...
I tell my family IMO the information that is provided by News from Hurricaine Center, local EMS, Army Corps, etc. is for evacuation/ & preparation information.

IMO points::: 1. It appears to me that this time given is always the quickest possible for the storm to arrive point to point with no mention of likely slowing... (So almost always expect a much much longer storm experience than forecast initially)...2. The flood zone evacuation is always the highest possible tide with highest wind to prevent deaths although they know it will probably be much less.... 3. The wind speed is always the believed highest it may be at the future point. 

The only 1 of the 3 which I do not like is the #1 TIME. I wish they would say the quickest track is this track A so be prepared; but slowing is possible and this same track A is now also shown in the next slide graphics with high probability of slower arrival times that we really believe will happen with slowing of movement and direction flucuations.
« Last Edit: September 09, 2017, 10:31:13 PM by palmcity »

pineislander

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Re: Category 4 Hurricane Irma
« Reply #87 on: September 09, 2017, 11:15:36 PM »
Now my friend on Pine Inland is facing this. Good luck
I woke to find the forecast path over Pine Island is within 500 feet of my property in the black box. I've evacuated.



Future

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Re: Category 4 Hurricane Irma
« Reply #88 on: September 09, 2017, 11:22:44 PM »
Back up to Cat 5 at latest NHC update. 

skhan

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Re: Category 4 Hurricane Irma
« Reply #89 on: September 10, 2017, 08:43:22 AM »
Most annonas have fallen over here.
Khan's Edible Oasis
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skhan

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Re: Category 4 Hurricane Irma
« Reply #90 on: September 10, 2017, 09:48:56 AM »
Cocnut cream is down too
Khan's Edible Oasis
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Mr. Clean

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Re: Category 4 Hurricane Irma
« Reply #91 on: September 10, 2017, 10:15:22 AM »
Skhan, sorry to hear of your losses.




« Last Edit: September 10, 2017, 10:24:35 AM by Mr. Clean »
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Mugenia

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Re: Category 4 Hurricane Irma
« Reply #92 on: September 10, 2017, 03:22:11 PM »
My friend high tailed to NE Georgia. His 700 tree orchard on Pine Island is a goner.

bradflorida

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Re: Category 4 Hurricane Irma
« Reply #93 on: September 10, 2017, 09:39:29 PM »
Do you know specifically about the damage to Pine Island already or are you just assuming?  Is it Steve?

Brad
Brad

Mugenia

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Re: Category 4 Hurricane Irma
« Reply #94 on: September 11, 2017, 12:14:34 AM »
I spoke to my friend yesterday. He said he's letting nature taking care of his land now. He's chilling in Atlanta. I am assuming that with newly planted fruit trees on an opened field, the scenerio isn't pretty especially when there's a hurricane rolling by.

buddyguygreen

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Re: Category 4 Hurricane Irma
« Reply #95 on: September 11, 2017, 12:46:07 AM »
man is it windy, my papayas and bananas are sideways

OCchris1

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Re: Category 4 Hurricane Irma
« Reply #96 on: September 11, 2017, 02:08:39 AM »
Take care buddy! Hope everyone in the storms path is okay. Chris

Jsvand5

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Re: Category 4 Hurricane Irma
« Reply #97 on: September 11, 2017, 02:22:49 AM »
Lost power at 2:00am. The suck begins

Frog Valley Farm

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Re: Category 4 Hurricane Irma
« Reply #98 on: September 11, 2017, 08:05:48 AM »
🗯
« Last Edit: March 19, 2018, 09:07:34 PM by Frog Valley Farm »

sytanta

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Re: Category 4 Hurricane Irma
« Reply #99 on: September 11, 2017, 08:27:52 AM »
Hope everyone will be safe. Trees broken down do hurt but can be re-planted.

 

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