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Author Topic: Hurricane Humberto  (Read 607 times)

Future

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Hurricane Humberto
« on: September 14, 2019, 06:07:03 PM »
« Last Edit: September 16, 2019, 12:46:36 PM by Future »

Future

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Re: Tropical Storm Humberto
« Reply #1 on: September 15, 2019, 09:27:43 AM »
Update: Cat 2 likely within 100 miles by Thursday

Future

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Re: Tropical Storm Humberto
« Reply #2 on: September 16, 2019, 12:46:07 PM »
Looming Cat 2. Now 79 miles from eye predicted for Thursday 7 am. Weíve seen worse but it will get breezy.

http://weather.bm/maps/TropicalStormInfo.asp?WTNTnum=WTNT24&201991617440

Luisport

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Re: Hurricane Humberto
« Reply #3 on: September 17, 2019, 09:21:57 AM »
Levi Cowan
@TropicalTidbits
Hurricane #Humberto continues to get stronger as it moves ENE out into the northwestern Atlantic. Its track may take it very close to Bermuda late Wednesday. Any shift southward in the track could bring hurricane conditions to the island.

Future

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Re: Hurricane Humberto
« Reply #4 on: September 17, 2019, 05:24:42 PM »
Risk of Cat 3 now. At least a strong Cat 2, 80 miles from eye. Direction brings the extra strong easterly wall. Preparations made.  Calm and beautiful today. Tomorrow wonít be so calm...

http://weather.bm/maps/TropicalStormInfo.asp?WTNTnum=WTNT24&201991722227

Future

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Re: Hurricane Humberto
« Reply #5 on: September 17, 2019, 05:26:32 PM »
Early models - not reliable - see Tropical Depression 10 following the same hook out way...

simon_grow

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Re: Hurricane Humberto
« Reply #6 on: September 17, 2019, 06:22:45 PM »
Man, that sucks! Hopefully your family, friends and orchard will be spared. Tell your family members to stay safe out there.

Simon

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Re: Hurricane Humberto
« Reply #7 on: September 18, 2019, 03:45:02 AM »
 
@AlexLubbers2
 8 hHŠ 8 horas
Mais
BREAKING: Hurricane #Humberto is now a MAJOR HURRICANE, a Category 3 with 115mph sustained winds. This is the second Major Hurricane of the 2019 Hurricane season, after Dorian.

Luisport

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Re: Hurricane Humberto
« Reply #8 on: September 18, 2019, 04:50:21 AM »
For Humberto FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 18/0900Z 31.7N 69.6W 100 KT 115 MPH
12H 18/1800Z 32.7N 67.2W 105 KT 120 MPH
24H 19/0600Z 34.8N 63.5W 100 KT 115 MPH
36H 19/1800Z 37.5N 61.0W 85 KT 100 MPH
48H 20/0600Z 40.0N 59.5W 65 KT 75 MPH
72H 21/0600Z 43.0N 53.9W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 22/0600Z 45.5N 38.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 23/0600Z 52.1N 23.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

Luisport

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Re: Hurricane Humberto
« Reply #9 on: September 18, 2019, 10:45:00 AM »
...AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS HUMBERTO
STRONGER AS THE MAJOR HURRICANE THREATENS BERMUDA...
...LARGE HURRICANE-FORCE WIND FIELD CONTINUES TO EXPAND...

now 120mph
Humberto be trying to make a run to Cat 4 hmm we shall see

Future

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Re: Hurricane Humberto
« Reply #10 on: September 18, 2019, 11:24:05 AM »
Thanks for the notes Simon, Alex.We are staring down a Cat 3. Good news: itís moving fast so we will only have a 12 hour window at Tropical Force and perhaps a few hours at Hurricane Force.  8pm tonight will be the peak. My seedlings are indoors now, in bathtubs, showers,l and on kitchen floor.  For those who arenít aware, Bermuda infrastructure is generally solid, all concrete most steel reinforced.  This Cat 3 has a small diameter so 70 miles out still offers us respite. I donít expect too much structural damage but will certainly lose some crops.  Weíll be fine here.

Watching right behind it we have another storm brewing...

Sleepdoc

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Re: Hurricane Humberto
« Reply #11 on: September 18, 2019, 06:34:54 PM »
I truly hope you donít take a direct hit.  Keep us informed.

Future

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Re: Hurricane Humberto
« Reply #12 on: September 18, 2019, 06:44:41 PM »


For perspective, the Atlantic Ocean covers 41 million square miles. Bermuda covers only 21 square. So when the eye wall grazes on end of the island, as doing now, itís pretty rare. Iíve experienced 3 eyes in my lifetime, one a Cat 3. Iím at the other end of the island so weíll see what comes of this. Howling pretty good out there now....gusts up to 82 mph

http://weather.bm/tools/graphics.asp?name=500KM%20PPI&user=


Peak winds will hit in the next hour.

Future

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Re: Hurricane Humberto
« Reply #13 on: September 18, 2019, 06:45:30 PM »
I truly hope you donít take a direct hit.  Keep us informed.

Thanks Doc

Sleepdoc

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Re: Hurricane Humberto
« Reply #14 on: September 18, 2019, 06:50:21 PM »
Woah - that definitely looks like you are about to get hit by the eye wall.  Please be safe.

Future

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Re: Hurricane Humberto
« Reply #15 on: September 19, 2019, 05:52:10 AM »
Good morning forum.

Storm has passed.  Peak winds over land 115mph. 

80% without electricity (essentially almost everyone not in the city).  Structural assessments begin in a few moments.  Not life lost. One baby born. Road clearing will take some time.  And just for fun, a reboot of the unprecedented double hurricane strike in the same week from several years ago may be in the works...

http://weather.bm/maps/TropicalStormInfo.asp?WTNTnum=WTNT25&2019919104659

Future

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Re: Hurricane Humberto
« Reply #16 on: September 19, 2019, 03:01:44 PM »
Trees everywhere are whipped. Funny thing is I have two fresh grafts that look ok still. Time will tell.

Hurricane eye went from 30 miles wide to 105.  Thatís why we got hit harder than expected.

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Re: Hurricane Humberto
« Reply #17 on: September 19, 2019, 03:02:54 PM »

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Re: Hurricane Humberto
« Reply #18 on: September 20, 2019, 08:45:11 AM »

Sleepdoc

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Re: Hurricane Humberto
« Reply #19 on: September 20, 2019, 08:40:06 PM »
How did your trees do ?

Future

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Re: Hurricane Humberto
« Reply #20 on: September 21, 2019, 05:19:23 PM »
How did your trees do ?

Whatís up Doc? Leaves are toast. But no branches broken. Two grafts I had going survived. A friend you might recall from years ago, Dr. Warner, asked me to bag his 5ft tall mango trees as he travelled today and we have a direct hit projected for Tuesday. When I went to meet I saw first hand how magical bagging is. He has a VP totally exposed at a hilltop he put a trash bag on and leaves are unblemished. Counterintuitive but battle tested at 115mph.  Will be doing that going forward except my leaves are already toast...checked my field and as expected every single banana tree leveled.  Black Sapote yawned and stands high.

Iím thinking ex-banana, most trees should live. Thanks for asking.

Sleepdoc

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Re: Hurricane Humberto
« Reply #21 on: September 22, 2019, 06:20:55 AM »
Glad to hear your trees should recover.   As long as they are not uprooted, they should make it.

Bagging is an interesting idea.  I definitely see how it can save the leaves, but it does seem that the bag would act as a ďsailĒ of sorts and increase the chance of uprooting.  Iím curious to hear how that works going forward. 

Hoping Jerry misses

Future

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Re: Hurricane Humberto
« Reply #22 on: September 22, 2019, 07:45:30 AM »
Iím sure someone here already posted about the counterintuitive bagging - need to find it. Another source tells me theyíve use it with success too. Seeing it work sold me.

Jerry projected weaker but it seems we sit in a hurricane bowling alley with Karen now behind Jerry.

http://weather.bm/maps/TropicalStormInfo.asp?WTNTnum=WTNT25&2019922124017

http://weather.bm/maps/TropicalStormInfo.asp?WTNTnum=WTNT22&2019922124017

 

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