Time for an update. Bottom line is there were a few surprises, but things went mostly as you would expect.
The lowest temperate I recorded was 28F, which happened twice. We had a couple dozen nights in the 30-32F range . Not the coldest winter in terms of lows, but there was a lot of light frost. Worst of all, we had biblical amounts of rain which left the soil waterlogged all winter and may have done more harm than the frost.
I chose not to protect anything because I wanted to find out which trees could survive on their own.
These trees stayed green all winter and have little to no damage:
* Allspice - the biggest surprise. Zero damage on this one!
* Cherry of the Rio Grande - looks like winter never happened
* Jaboticabas (Sabara, Red, Trunciflora, Coronata, Grimal) - Coronata in particular looked lush all winter. The others dropped some leaves but are growing back.
* Cabelluda - lost all leaves but it's already growing back.
* Suriname Cherry - dropped most of its leaves, but that's normal. Growing back now.
* Lucuma - I knocked off like one burned leaf.
* Cherimoya (Booth and El Bumpo)
These trees had minor damage:
* Carambola (Dwarf Hart) - burnt tips only. 90% of leaves held on and stayed green. My second biggest surprise!
* Grumichama - lost 50% of leaves but it's already growing back
* Longan (Kohala) - yep, it's the hardy Longan! Only the outer leaves that were coated in frost turned black.
These trees were burned back significantly but survived:
* Ceylon Cinnamon - looked perfect until mid February and then suddenly half the tree went black. Delayed frost damage I guess.
* Mangos - just one of my six mangos remained somewhat green. The others fared much worse (see below)
These trees dropped all leaves but have some green cambium:
* Mangos - 3 of the six mangos are extra crispy, but the wood seems alive.
* Green Sapote - looked good until late in winter
* Lychee - also looked good until late winter and then suddenly shriveled up
* Bay Rum
* Pitomba
* Black Sapote
* Cedar Bay Cherry - all black leaves but they haven't dried up yet
* Imbe - burned down to the last few inches of the trunk
* Achacha - like Imbe, mostly black and rotting except the very base
These trees died completely (but maybe roots are alive?)
* Wax Jambu - the first ones to go the moment temps dropped below 40.
* Peanut Butter Fruit - shriveled up not long after the Jambus
* Pouteria hypoglauca - held on a little longer
* Longan (Biew Kiew) - obviously Kohala is the one to grow here
* Luc's Garcinia - oh well. it was infanticide to put a 6 inch plant outside anyway
* Cherimoya (Pierce) - I guess Pierce is not the hardiest Cherimoya!
* Mangos (Antonio and Tequila Sunrise) - the "cold hardy" mangos from Tim Thompson. In truth, these died before it even got cold, while my other mangos still looked perfect. Not sure why.
I'm really happy I did this, but this will be the end of my "zone pushing" days. I learned that many Myrtaceaous plants like Jaboticaba can thrive here, so I will replace the dead stuff with these and more temperate fruits. To satisfy my need to grow tropical fruit, I'm buying land in Hawaii and will live there part time.