I've planted hundreds of hardy seeds and dozens of Hass seeds and I think it's extremely unlikely for a Hass seedling to be as hardy as he claims that one was unless he just lucked out with a 1 in a million seedling.
Wait youve already tried this with no success? Planting hundreds of seeds??
I am in a cool zone 8b, so keep that in mind when you read the following.
At this point I've killed about 40 Hass seedlings (the "dozens" I referenced), and a handful of other non-hardy seedlings like Lula, Choquette, Sharwil and GEM. I call that section of my yard "Death Row" because they have so far had 100% winter death rate (both above and below ground).
For hardy seedlings, in my first winter of the project (2021/2022), I planted about 30 Mexican-type seedlings outside, seedlings of Mexicola, Mexicola Grande, Bacon, Purple Nebula, and Royal-Wright. Two thirds of them were killed completely, above and below ground. Nine survived below ground and regrew.
This winter, I planted another ~30 seedlings in my yard, seedlings of Duke, Mexicola, Aravaipa, Purple Nebula, and Royal-Wright. It is too early to be sure, but the survival rate seems similar to the previous winter, with some that survived last winter apparently dying this winter, but a few with stems alive above ground.
I kept about 50 trees in containers this winter, and let those get a few mild frosts in the fall to cull the most sensitive before moving them to the greenhouse for the coldest time of the winter. Nearly a dozen of these
hardy seedlings suffered significant dieback from ~27°F, and most of them had some leaf or stem damage.
I have nearly 100 new hardy seedlings this year, and about 20 rooted cuttings.
So, "hundreds" may have been slight exaggeration, but I have a pretty good idea of the hardiness of various seedlings at this point, and Hass seedlings are not very hardy.
Ive read some success stories of a random seedling surviving in the compost in zone 8 climate I think
Yes! You're probably referring to Mike, who found a seedling in his compost in southern England. I'm in regular contact with Mike, who posts photo updates on his trees here:
https://imgur.com/a/5gflnlUHis location may technically be zone 8, but really closer to zone 9. Most winters since that tree sprouted he has not seen temperatures below -4°C (25°F), and he hasn't updated that page after this current winter, where the tree suffered significant dieback based on an email he sent a month ago. Here's a relevant excerpt from the email:
We had an unusually cold winter - four separate cold snaps, snow & ice laying permanently for 10 days for the first snap in December 2022. So, though disappointing, it came as no surprise that the almost 6-year-old 'Hass' has lost 90% of its leaves. In addition, there's a good 20-25 cm of dieback from the tips of the uppermost branches (the most exposed). The lowermost lateral branches, which are closest to the ground, are injured less, as you'd expect.
That tree has still barely faced full zone 8b temperatures, let alone 8a or below, and it would probably die if it did.